Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 54.7%
Pronosticadores
6
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado29 jun 26, 13:14 UTC30 jul 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
PolymarketWhat will Tyler Robinson be convicted of?
Manifold MarketsChud the Builder convicted of attempted murder?
PolymarketWill Tyler Robinson be alive on December 31st, 2026?
Manifold MarketsTyler Robinson Sentence? (Ultimate Result)
Manifold MarketsLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
PolymarketReglas
Tyler Robinson is accused of killing Charlie Kirk in September of 2025.
- If Robinson is convicted of any homicide or murder charge in the ongoing case versus the state of Utah, then this will be resolved as yes.
- Conversely, if a plea deal is reached or if the relevant charges are dropped, then it will resolve as a "no".
- If a mistrial is declared, then the question will still be active until the deadline.
- Appeals and other motions will not be considered.
- The actual verdict issued by the court will be the final say.
Mercados abiertos
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+4.5pt65%
- Yes-4.5pt35%
- Volumen total
- 347,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 27,4 mil €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026+0.1pt5%
- Volumen total
- 497,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 12,5 mil €
POLYMARKETNothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Yes+2.0pt83.2%
- No-2.0pt16.8%
- Volumen total
- 676 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 8,2 mil €
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volumen total
- 9,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 4,6 mil €
KALSHIWill Trump be impeached and removed from office?
- No84%
- Yes-1.0pt16%
- Volumen total
- 577,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 3,7 mil €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30+1.5pt7%
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- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
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- Andrew Tate released from custody by which date?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Tyler Robinson convicted of murder by July 31st 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 55% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Tyler Robinson convicted of murder by July 31st 2027??
- Está previsto que Tyler Robinson convicted of murder by July 31st 2027? se resuelva el 30 de julio de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Tyler Robinson convicted of murder by July 31st 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Tyler Robinson is accused of killing Charlie Kirk in September of 2025.