Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of September? [Polymarket]
One-OffGeopolíticaOriente MedioManifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoEste mercado se resolvió: No (99.2%)
Resuelto: 1 oct 2026, 2:25
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Resultado Ganador
No
A 7 días
—
A 24 horas
—
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 1 oct 2026, 5:45 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Cronología de Probabilidad
Yes0.8%
No99.2%
Ganada
Perdida
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LimitlessReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and Sep 30, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.