Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualBudget law is passed before deadline (end of March) 100%Líder entre 16 opciones
Pronosticadores
19
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+8.1 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado1 dic 25, 17:3531 dic 26, 23:59
Tendencias
100%
0%
0%
0%
Reglas
Update 2026-04-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): When counting parties, alliances and parties will both be included in the full list (not just standalone parties).
- Update 2026-07-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Questions apply to the current elections, even if the final outcome is known after 2026 ends.
Mercados abiertos
Middle East
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-1.8pt66%
- October 31-8.5pt41%
- September 30-3.0pt26%
+17 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 15,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 351 mil €
POLYMARKETUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- December 31-3.0pt8%
- November 30-2.0pt6%
- October 31-1.0pt4%
+6 resultados más
KALSHIWhen will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Before Jul 1, 2027+2.0pt47%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-2.0pt40%
- Before Jan 1, 2027-4.0pt24%
+9 resultados más
KALSHIUS-Iran nuclear deal?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-5.0pt36.1%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-1.0pt22.7%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt11.3%
+8 resultados más
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- August 22+1.1pt98%
- August 2595%
- August 31-1.0pt86%
+3 resultados más
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by which date?
- August 310%
- August 150%
- Volumen total
- 19,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 101,7 mil €
- Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Al-Riyadh vs Al Nassr
- Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by which date?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will Iran target a Arab country on?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Israeli Politics 2026 Prop Bets [add your predictions]?
- Manifold Markets cotiza Budget law is passed before deadline (end of March) al 100% a fecha de 21 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Israeli Politics 2026 Prop Bets [add your predictions]?
- Está previsto que Israeli Politics 2026 Prop Bets [add your predictions] se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Israeli Politics 2026 Prop Bets [add your predictions]?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Update 2026-04-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): When counting parties, alliances and parties will both be included in the full list (not just standalone parties).