If at least one AI system causes more than 100 deaths in the next 12 months, who would be behind it?
GeopolíticaIA2m
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualAccident/other 40.1%Líder entre 3 opciones
Pronosticadores
17
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado12 ene 26, 17:05 UTC12 ene 27, 17:05 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
If an AI system is causes the deaths of >= 5000 Americans by eoy 2027, which AI company would be most to blame? (no n/a)
Manifold MarketsConditional on at least one AI system causing more than 100 deaths in the next 12 months, what's the type of attack?
Manifold MarketsThe AI company with the smartest AI system by the end of 2026
Manifold MarketsWill an AI system be known to have resisted shutdown before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the European Commission's AI Office issue a formal notice of non-compliance to a provider of a "High-Risk AI System" on or before December 31, 2026?
ForecastExWorld Conflict Prop Bets 2025-2027 [High Liquidity]
Manifold MarketsReglas
Excluding use in the Russia/Ukraine war, because AI systems are probably already killing more than 100 people in this context
- If more than one attack, refers to the first one.
