Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualUSA 100%Líder entre 26 opciones
Pronosticadores
38
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado4 mar 26, 18:59 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Donald Trump order a new U.S. attack on Iran by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill J.D. Vance publicly criticize the decision to attack Iran before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
PolymarketUS-Iran nuclear deal?
KalshiReglas
countries = official armed forced of a given country, doesn't matter the scale of the attach, but must be on purpose and not an accident, within the borders of Iran or against Iranian military assets
Mercados abiertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 22,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 581,3 mil €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 resultados más
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-12.5pt69%
- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-17.5pt51%
+2 resultados más
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt8%
- September 30+0.4pt2%
- July 310%
+7 resultados más
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 resultados más
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Volumen total
- 55,9 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 96,8 mil €
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- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Countries that attack Iran before the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza USA al 100% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Countries that attack Iran before the end of 2026??
- Está previsto que Countries that attack Iran before the end of 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Countries that attack Iran before the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: countries = official armed forced of a given country, doesn't matter the scale of the attach, but must be on purpose and not an accident, within the borders of Iran or against Iranian military assets