Will J.D. Vance publicly criticize the decision to attack Iran before 2029?
PolíticaOne-OffOriente MedioGeopolíticaBaloncestoDeportesPolítica de EE. UU.2a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 24 oct 2026, 12:50 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualSí 51.7%
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24
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 29 minutos
5 mar 26, 4:43 UTC31 dic 28, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution Criteria
- The US and Israel launched a coordinated joint attack on Iran on February 28, 2026, codenamed Operation Epic Fury by the US Department of Defense, targeting key Iranian officials, military commanders and facilities.
- This market resolves YES if J.D. Vance makes a public statement criticizing this decision before January 1, 2029.
- Public statements include interviews, speeches, op-eds, social media posts, or other publicly available remarks.
- The criticism must be directed at the decision to attack Iran itself, not merely at the execution or consequences of the operation.
- Resolution will be determined by reviewing public records, news archives, and official statements from Vance.
