As of November 2028, will any of the current 50 US states attempt to secede from the Union.
GeopolíticaOne-OffUS Politics2a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 84.9%
Pronosticadores
26
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado28 dic 23, 13:16 UTC1 nov 28, 10:59 UTC
Tendencias
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PolymarketReglas
Will resolve YES if any US state declares independence or secession from the United States, even if it is unsuccessful due to military action or otherwise.
- Will resolve NO if all current states are still part of the union on market close.
- This includes scenarios where states merge.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de As of November 2028, will any of the current 50 US states attempt to secede from the Union.?
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 85% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve As of November 2028, will any of the current 50 US states attempt to secede from the Union.?
- Está previsto que As of November 2028, will any of the current 50 US states attempt to secede from the Union. se resuelva el 1 de noviembre de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida As of November 2028, will any of the current 50 US states attempt to secede from the Union.?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Will resolve YES if any US state declares independence or secession from the United States, even if it is unsuccessful due to military action or otherwise.