SOAI#2: A major AI lab leans back into open-sourcing frontier models to win over the current US administration
IAOne-Off
Manifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoEste mercado se resolvió: Yes (94.7%)
Resuelto: 10 oct 2026, 21:36
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 11 oct 2026, 11:31 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Cronología de Probabilidad
Yes94.7%
No5.299999999999997%
Ganada
Perdida
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market resolves to YES or NO as per the 2026 State of AI Report's self grading of its prediction #2: A major AI lab leans back into open-sourcing frontier models to win over the current US administration.
- If they do not issue a ruling by EOY 2026, I will resolve by asking Anthropic's best model to evaluate based on their exact wording.
