SOAI#2: A major AI lab leans back into open-sourcing frontier models to win over the current US administration
IAOne-Off3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 95.1%
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27
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 10 horas
Desactualizado9 oct 25, 23:04 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
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This market resolves to YES or NO as per the 2026 State of AI Report's self grading of its prediction #2: A major AI lab leans back into open-sourcing frontier models to win over the current US administration.
- If they do not issue a ruling by EOY 2026, I will resolve by asking Anthropic's best model to evaluate based on their exact wording.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de SOAI#2: A major AI lab leans back into open-sourcing frontier models to win over the current US administration?
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 95% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve SOAI#2: A major AI lab leans back into open-sourcing frontier models to win over the current US administration?
- Está previsto que SOAI#2: A major AI lab leans back into open-sourcing frontier models to win over the current US administration se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida SOAI#2: A major AI lab leans back into open-sourcing frontier models to win over the current US administration?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market resolves to YES or NO as per the 2026 State of AI Report's self grading of its prediction #2: A major AI lab leans back into open-sourcing frontier models to win over the current US administration.