LimitlessComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosAviso de calidad de datosSin precio significativo
Datos del 25 ago 2026, 12:40 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
No 87.5%
Calidad del mercado
30 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
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Liquidez
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Liquidez desconocidaDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 20 minutos
25 ago 26, 12:0231 dic 26, 0:00
Tendencias
Reglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
2 plataformas cotizan actualmente este mercado. La probabilidad de referencia ponderada por liquidez de CoinRithm para Referencia CoinRithm es del 13%. Las cotizaciones difieren en unos 1 punto porcentual entre las plataformas más alejadas.
Referencia CoinRithm 13% · 2 plataformas · 1 pt de dispersion entre venues
Mercados abiertos
Geopolitics
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No+3.0pt87.1%
- Yes-3.0pt12.9%
- Volumen total
- 53,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 2 M €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-6.2pt70%
- October 31-9.5pt50%
- September 30-13.0pt25%
+17 resultados más
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- August 22100%
- August 25100%
- August 31+1.4pt97%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt74.8%
- New People (NL)-1.1pt19.2%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.1pt5%
POLYMARKETNext round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- March 31, 2027-5.0pt63%
- December-7.0pt46%
- September 30,-4.0pt18%
+8 resultados más
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31-0.5pt17%
- October 3111%
- September 30+1.0pt7%
+9 resultados más
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027??
- Limitless cotiza No al 88% a fecha de 28 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027??
- Está previsto que Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027??
- Limitless liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: <p>This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Manifold Markets, Polymarket.