Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?
1.0 pts (24h)Middle EastYearlyGeopolítica5m
KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actualUganda 35%Líder entre 18 opciones
Calidad del mercado
52 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
5,2 €
Liquidez
29,6 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
16.0% / 20.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 minutos
6 ene 26, 15:001 ene 27, 4:59
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Lebanon16%
Tendencia de volumen
$62 jul22d de datos28 jul
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State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Afghanistan after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Advisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify.
- The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region.
- A Travel Advisory is considered "issued" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.
- State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Burma (Myanmar) after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Gaza after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.