Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?

One-OffChina5m

KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximada

Probabilidad implícita actual

Before Jan 1, 2027 7%

Líder entre 5 opciones

Calidad del mercado

64 / 100

Calidad media

Volumen 24h

1,8 mil €

Liquidez

222,9 mil €

Alta liquidez

Compra / Venta

4.5% / 7.0%

Spread

55.6%

Spread amplio

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 13 minutos

7 ene 26, 15:001 ene 27, 4:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Before Jul 1, 2026

Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero

Resultado elegido

Before Jan 1, 20277%

Apuesta (USDT)

Reglas

State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Advisories dated for future events must be effective before Jul 1, 2026 to qualify.
The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region.
A Travel Advisory is considered "issued" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.
A Level 4 travel advisory means "Do not travel" and is the highest advisory level due to life-threatening risks.
State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Tendencia de volumen

$2.0k

2 jul24d de datos26 jul

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Reglas

State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Advisories dated for future events must be effective before Jul 1, 2026 to qualify.
The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region.
A Travel Advisory is considered "issued" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.
A Level 4 travel advisory means "Do not travel" and is the highest advisory level due to life-threatening risks.
State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?

One-OffChina5m

KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximada

Probabilidad implícita actual

Before Jan 1, 2027 7%

Líder entre 5 opciones

Calidad del mercado

64 / 100

Calidad media

Volumen 24h

1,8 mil €

Liquidez

222,9 mil €

Alta liquidez

Compra / Venta

4.5% / 7.0%

Spread

55.6%

Spread amplio

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 13 minutos

7 ene 26, 15:001 ene 27, 4:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Before Jul 1, 2026

Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero

Resultado elegido

Before Jan 1, 20277%

Apuesta (USDT)

Reglas

State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Advisories dated for future events must be effective before Jul 1, 2026 to qualify.
The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region.
A Travel Advisory is considered "issued" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.
A Level 4 travel advisory means "Do not travel" and is the highest advisory level due to life-threatening risks.
State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Tendencia de volumen

$2.0k

2 jul24d de datos26 jul

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47,5 mil €

1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5: 64%

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34,8 mil €

Alibaba: 75%

POLYMARKET

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17,8 mil €

Nova Esports: 52%

KALSHI

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17,5 mil €

Chengdu Rongcheng: 48%

KALSHI

Wolves Esports vs. FunPlus Phoenix

13,2 mil €

FunPlus Phoenix: 66%

KALSHI

Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$64,516.00+0.90%

EthereumETH$1,883.52+1.51%

SolanaSOL$75.06+1.48%

XRPXRP$1.10+0.94%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0731+5.05%

BNBBNB$571.06+0.96%

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Trump’s CLARITY push is now about beating ChinaCrypto News

Polymarket prices China–Japan clash at 7.5% after ICC dispute spotlights TokyoBlockchain.News

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Reglas

State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Advisories dated for future events must be effective before Jul 1, 2026 to qualify.
The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region.
A Travel Advisory is considered "issued" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.
A Level 4 travel advisory means "Do not travel" and is the highest advisory level due to life-threatening risks.
State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.