KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Above 2.0% 82%Líder entre 13 opciones
Calidad del mercado
27 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
177,4 €
Baja liquidezSpread
9.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 minutos
6 ago 26, 22:00 UTC28 ene 36, 13:29 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
US nominal GDP growth in 2036
KalshiUS nominal GDP growth in 2034
KalshiUS nominal GDP growth in 2033
KalshiWill AGI cause US nominal GDP to at least double between 2025 to 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill the US be the largest economy by nominal gdp in 2052?
Manifold MarketsUS nominal GDP growth in 2032
KalshiReglas
If the annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for calendar year 2035 is above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis
- The Underlying is the 2035 annual value for GDP under “Current-dollar measures” in the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis release titled “GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2035,” or its equivalent successor publication.
- The value will be taken as reported by BEA, in percentage terms and to the precision published by BEA.
- Subsequent estimates, revisions, annual updates, or benchmark revisions will not affect resolution.
- If the annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for calendar year 2035 is above 0.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for calendar year 2035 is above 1.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abiertos
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 89,9 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,7 M €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 541,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 30,7 mil €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 334,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 12,8 mil €
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP58%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 10,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 10,7 mil €
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes2%
- Volumen total
- 612,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 6,9 mil €
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No95%
- Yes+1.0pt5%
- Volumen total
- 2,9 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 5,3 mil €
- Recession in 2027?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- CPI in September
- CPI core in August
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment in September
Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de US nominal GDP growth in 2035?
- Kalshi cotiza Above 2.0% al 82% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve US nominal GDP growth in 2035?
- Está previsto que US nominal GDP growth in 2035 se resuelva el 28 de enero de 2036.
- ¿Cómo se liquida US nominal GDP growth in 2035?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for calendar year 2035 is above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.