KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
No 96%
Calidad del mercado
72 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
38,7 €
Liquidez
91,3 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
4.0% / 4.1%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 minutos
1 mar 26, 15:00 UTC1 mar 27, 14:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketReglas
If Iran's score in the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index is at least 6.00 as published in the EIU Democracy Index 2026 report, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:The Economist
Mercados abiertos
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+21.6pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 25,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 695 mil €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 resultados más
KALSHIAl Qadsiah vs Al Ahli Saudi
- Al Qadsiah+21.0pt68.6%
- Tie-3.0pt20.6%
- Al Ahli Saudi-17.0pt10.8%
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.0pt55.1%
- Benjamin Netanyahu28.6%
- Naftali Bennett8.2%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.1pt98%
- Yes-0.1pt2%
- Volumen total
- 6,9 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 107,6 mil €
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- No+0.1pt100%
- Yes-0.1pt0%
- Volumen total
- 1,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 104,5 mil €
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Al-Ittihad vs Al-Fayha
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Netanyahu out by which date?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Iran become a democracy in 2026??
- Kalshi cotiza No al 96% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Iran become a democracy in 2026??
- Está previsto que Will Iran become a democracy in 2026? se resuelva el 1 de marzo de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Iran become a democracy in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If Iran's score in the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index is at least 6.00 as published in the EIU Democracy Index 2026 report, then the market resolves to Yes.