Will China, Iran, Saudi Arabia, or Russia become a democracy first?
IA
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Russia 33.3%Líder entre 4 opciones
Russia 33.3%Pronosticadores
14
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado8 jul 24, 16:56 UTC31 dic 49, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
In case of a war with Iran before 2050, will Saudi Arabia runs out of water for its population?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a so-called "nuclear Saudi Arabia" by 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a civil war in Saudi Arabia with more than 100 000 deaths before 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia ever become a democracy?
Manifold MarketsSaudi Arabia military action against Yemen on?
PolymarketHouthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
PolymarketReglas
As classified by their polity score or V-DEM score https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polity_data_series#Scores_for_2018
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/V-Dem_Democracy_Indices
- Update 2025-11-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If both Polity score and V-DEM score are discontinued, the creator will update the market to use other democracy scores for resolution.
