KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Above 30 30.3%-17.0ptLíder entre 10 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
53 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
0,9 €
Liquidez
92 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
6.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 minutos
2 sept 26, 16:00 UTC5 ene 27, 13:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of October? [Polymarket]
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Manifold MarketsStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by ...
Manifold MarketsReglas
If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome after July 6, 2025 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:IMF PortWatch
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abiertos
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+18.3pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 25,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 719,6 mil €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.6pt47.5%
- October 31-1.0pt28.7%
- September 30-2.0pt13.1%
+17 resultados más
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.4pt55.7%
- Benjamin Netanyahu-3.0pt27.8%
- Naftali Bennett8.3%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+3.0pt80%
- September 18+2.0pt75%
- September 11+12.0pt71%
+2 resultados más
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.3pt98%
- Yes-0.3pt2%
- Volumen total
- 6,9 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 97,8 mil €
KALSHIWhen will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Before Jan 1, 2029-2.0pt69%
- Before Jul 1, 2028-1.0pt67%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-1.0pt64%
+11 resultados más
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Netanyahu out by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026??
- Kalshi cotiza Above 30 al 30% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026??
- Está previsto que How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026? se resuelva el 5 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome after July 6, 2025 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.