KalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: China (74%)
Resuelto: 31 ago 2026, 13:27
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Resultado Ganador
China
A 7 días
—
A 24 horas
—
Probabilidad implícita actual
China 71.2%+2.0ptAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
375,5 mil €
Liquidez
184 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
65.0% / 73.0%
Spread
8.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 días
Desactualizado28 ago 26, 0:38 UTC2 sept 26, 11:30 UTC
Cronología de Probabilidad
China74%
Lebanon30%
71.2%
28.9%
Reglas
If China wins the Lebanon vs China men's professional FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game originally scheduled for Aug 31, 2026 at 7:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result.
- If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If Lebanon wins the Lebanon vs China men's professional FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game originally scheduled for Aug 31, 2026 at 7:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abiertos
Middle East
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-8.0pt72%
- September 18-7.5pt68%
- September 11-10.5pt60%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 978,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 379,3 mil €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.3pt49.1%
- October 31-1.0pt29.3%
- September 30-2.0pt12.1%
+17 resultados más
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No+4.5pt80.2%
- Yes-4.5pt19.8%
- Volumen total
- 9,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 248,1 mil €
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+5.0pt58.2%
- Benjamin Netanyahu-1.0pt28.6%
- Naftali Bennett-1.0pt7.1%
POLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+0.1pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.3pt1%
- July 310%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- Al Nassr vs Abha
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Lebanon vs China?
- Kalshi cotiza China al 71% a fecha de 31 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Lebanon vs China?
- Está previsto que Lebanon vs China se resuelva el 2 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Lebanon vs China?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If China wins the Lebanon vs China men's professional FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game originally scheduled for Aug 31, 2026 at 7:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.