KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosSin actividad de trading
Datos del 11 sept 2026, 14:30 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
At least 1730K 0%Líder entre 11 opciones
Calidad del mercado
26 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
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Liquidez
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Liquidez desconocidaSpread
9.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
10 sept 26, 17:45 UTC17 sept 26, 12:29 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.8% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4.6% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.3% in September 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExFed Decision in September?
PolymarketUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
KalshiWill real US GDP per capita grow by at least 15% within a single year by the end of 2033?
Manifold MarketsReglas
If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 5, 2026 is at least
- 1730K, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Underlying is the advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment figure reported by the U.S. Department of Labor’s Employment and Training Administration in its Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report for the week ending Sep 5, 2026.
- The market will use the advance figure first published for the specified week.
- The following week's revision will not affect resolution.
- 1740K, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abiertos
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+17.0pt80.2%
- No change-16.0pt18.8%
- 50+ bps increase-0.3pt1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 104,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 8,2 M €
KALSHIWisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 447,500 jobs96%
- Above 450,000 jobs94%
- Above 452,500 jobs84%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 100,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 8,4 mil €
KALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.0%96%
- Above 3.3%+23.0pt88%
- Above 3.1%86%
+18 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 25,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 7,3 mil €
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No96%
- Yes-2.0pt4%
- Volumen total
- 2,9 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 6,3 mil €
POLYMARKETBrazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?
- -0.3% to -0.1%+1.5pt33.7%
- 0.0% to 0.2%+3.0pt29.5%
- <-0.3%+2.4pt9.5%
+4 resultados más
KALSHIGermany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.0% of GDP93%
- Above -4.5% of GDP84%
- Above -4.0% of GDP51%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 21,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 3,3 mil €
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- Japan’s government budget balance in 2026
- China Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Recession in 2027?
- GDP growth in 2026
- Unemployment in September
- Will Wyoming's unemployment rate remain below 3.5% in 2026?
- Canada GDP: July 2026 (MoM)
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- 2026: Trump's bad year?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Sep 5, 2026?
- Kalshi cotiza At least 1730K al 0% a fecha de 11 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Sep 5, 2026?
- Está previsto que Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Sep 5, 2026 se resuelva el 17 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Sep 5, 2026?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 5, 2026 is at least