Este mercado está cerrado y esperando una resolución confirmada.
Resuelto: 18 ago 2026, 14:28
Datos de resolución no verificados
Este resultado se infiere o no está respaldado por evidencia de liquidación de nivel proveedor.
Probabilidad implícita actual
Above 4.6% 99%Líder entre 10 opciones
Calidad del mercado
25 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
4 mil €
Liquidez
3,5 mil €
Liquidez mediaTraders
29
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 22 días
DesactualizadoTendencias
99%
97%
97%
94%
93%
82%
56%
51%
3%
1%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the US enter a recession in 2026?
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KalshiChina Nominal GDP in 2026
KalshiWill China surpass the United States economically, militarily, and scientifically before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill China ever surpass US gdp?
Manifold MarketsChina GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?
PolymarketReglas
Each market in this event resolves "Yes" if China’s surveyed urban unemployment rate for July 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics of China and displayed by Trading Economics, is above the listed threshold.
- Markets resolve independently — every threshold below the reported figure resolves "Yes".
Mercados abiertos
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 89,9 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,7 M €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 541,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 30,7 mil €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 334,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 12,8 mil €
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP58%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 10,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 10,7 mil €
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes2%
- Volumen total
- 612,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 6,9 mil €
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No95%
- Yes+1.0pt5%
- Volumen total
- 2,9 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 5,3 mil €
- Recession in 2027?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- CPI in September
- CPI core in August
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment in September
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de China unemployment rate — July 2026?
- Futuur cotiza Above 4.6% al 99% a fecha de 17 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve China unemployment rate — July 2026?
- Está previsto que China unemployment rate — July 2026 se resuelva el 17 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida China unemployment rate — July 2026?
- Futuur liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Each market in this event resolves "Yes" if China’s surveyed urban unemployment rate for July 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics of China and displayed by Trading Economics, is above the listed threshold.