Will China ever surpass US gdp?

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Preguntas frecuentes

¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will China ever surpass US gdp??

Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 63.6% a fecha de 26 de octubre de 2026.

¿Cuándo se resuelve Will China ever surpass US gdp??

Está previsto que Will China ever surpass US gdp? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2102.

¿Cómo se liquida Will China ever surpass US gdp??

Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Sep 5, 9:58am: Resolves NO if China is passed as the second largest economy (or if either China &/ the US cease to exist)

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KALSHI

Recession this year?

• No95.5%
• Yes+1.0pt4.5%

Volumen total

3,4 M €

Volumen 24h

34 mil €

POLYMARKET

US recession by end of 2026?

• No+0.5pt92.1%
• Yes-0.5pt7.9%

Volumen total

2,1 M €

Volumen 24h

20,7 mil €

KALSHI

October 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP

• U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 50-99k16%
• U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: 50-99k+11.0pt10.5%
• U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: 100k or above

KALSHI

Unemployment in October

• Above 3.8%98.5%
• Above 3.7%99.5%
• Above 3.9%98%

KALSHI

Recession in 2027?

• No79.5%
• Yes+1.0pt20.5%

Volumen total

668,5 mil €

Volumen 24h

11 mil €

KALSHI

South Africa unemployment rate in Q3

• Above 31.0%-6.0pt95%
• Above 31.5%-4.0pt94%
• Above 32.0%+12.0pt

• Mexico unemployment rate in October
• CPI in October
• US economic state at the end of 2026?
• Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?
• How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
• Core CPI YoY in December
• CPI in December
• US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
• South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026?
• CPI YoY in December
• US jobs revisions in the report covering October 2026