Will the US enter a recession in 2026?
BitcoinOne-OffEconomíaMacro & EconomyFedMemecoinTrade PolicyChessChinaDeportesEuropeUS Politics3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 94.9%
Pronosticadores
31
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado12 feb 26, 9:21 UTC1 ene 27, 0:00 UTC
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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ForecastExReglas
Resolves YES if the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) declares that the US economy entered a recession at any point during 2026, OR if two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth are recorded in 2026.
- Key context:
- Tariff escalation with China, EU, and other trading partners is creating economic uncertainty
- Federal spending cuts from DOGE are reducing government contribution to GDP
- Bitcoin and equity markets have experienced significant corrections in early 2026
- Unemployment has ticked up from 4.0% to 4.3%
