PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityBalance Sheet 85%+0.5%Leader of 33 outcomes
Market quality
89 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$9.8K
Liquidity
$140.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
14.0% / 15.0%
Spread
7.1%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Jul 21, 26, 1:15 AMJul 29, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Balance Sheet85%
Compare venues· Balance Sheet
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall88% match · auto | High | 83% | 0pt | $31.7K | $105.4K | 19 minutes ago | Open → |
| PolymarketThis page | High | 85% | +2pt | $9.8K | $140.1K | 19 minutes ago |
Also available on Kalshi
What will Kevin Warsh say during his July press conference?
3.0%4d
83%
82%
+1.0%77%
+40 more outcomes
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$142.3K
24h Vol$31.7K
KALSHIRules
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on July 29, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET.
- This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If no such statement by Warsh happens by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$9.8kJul 216d of dataJul 26
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Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on July 29, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET.
- This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If no such statement by Warsh happens by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.