Current implied probability
No 92%+0.4pt
Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$162.9
Liquidity
$141.2
Low liquidityBid / Ask
0.8% / 14.6%
Spread
13.8 pt
Wide spreadComments
1
7d Change
-40.6 pts
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
VALORANT Champions Shanghai (2026) Mega-Market
Manifold MarketsVALORANT Champions Shanghai Champion
KalshiVALORANT Champions Shanghai MVP
KalshiVALORANT Champions Shanghai Winning Region
KalshiWill FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026?
PolymarketWill Thorin appear as an analyst at an S-Tier CS tournament in 2026?
LimitlessRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Tier 2 team qualifies for VALORANT Champions 2026, currently scheduled for September 24 to October 18, 2026 in Shanghai, China.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A Tier 2 team means any team that is not one of the partnered (franchised) organizations of a VCT 2026 international league (Americas, EMEA, Pacific, or China).
- Whether the organization holds league partner status is the sole determinant.
- Teams that entered their league's Stage 2 through the Play-In path as Challengers or National Competition participants are examples of Tier 2 teams.
- Qualifying means being officially confirmed by Riot Games as a participating team of VALORANT Champions 2026, whether through a Stage 2 result, Championship Points, a replacement or substitution, or any other official allocation method.
Open markets
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No88.1%
- Yes11.9%
- Total Vol
- $3.2M
- 24h Vol
- $58.3K
POLYMARKETChina x Japan military clash before 2027?
- No+1.0pt94.1%
- Yes-1.0pt5.9%
- Total Vol
- $1.4M
- 24h Vol
- $33.1K
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No+0.1pt96%
- Yes-0.1pt4%
- Total Vol
- $41.2M
- 24h Vol
- $30.5K
KALSHITop Chinese AI Company week of September 14th
- Alibaba+12.0pt76.9%
- Moonshot+4.0pt15.7%
- DeepSeek1.6%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $35.3K
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba-3.0pt75%
- Moonshot-3.5pt12%
- Z.ai+2.8pt6%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Total Vol
- $13.2M
- 24h Vol
- $17.1K
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 13?
- Will Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
- Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- China/France vs. Belgium/Germany
- Guandong GZ-Power FC vs Dalian Kun City
- Top Chinese AI Company week of September 7th
- Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner
- Guangxi Hengchen FC vs Yanbian Longding
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for VALORANT Champions 2026: Tier 2 Team to Qualify??
- Polymarket prices No at 92% as of September 12, 2026.
- How is VALORANT Champions 2026: Tier 2 Team to Qualify? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Tier 2 team qualifies for VALORANT Champions 2026, currently scheduled for September 24 to October 18, 2026 in Shanghai, China.