Current implied probability
China/France 92.1%+6.5pt
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$5.9K
Liquidity
$48.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
91.0% / 94.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Sep 10, 26, 7:30 AM UTCSep 19, 26, 4:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
In the upcoming FIBA Women's World Cup game, scheduled for September 12 at 12:00PM ET: If the China/France win, the market will resolve to "China/France".
- If the Belgium/Germany win, the market will resolve to "Belgium/Germany".
- If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
- If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
- The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Open markets
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No88.1%
- Yes11.9%
- Total Vol
- $3.2M
- 24h Vol
- $58.3K
POLYMARKETChina x Japan military clash before 2027?
- No+1.0pt94.1%
- Yes-1.0pt5.9%
- Total Vol
- $1.4M
- 24h Vol
- $33.1K
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No+0.1pt96%
- Yes-0.1pt4%
- Total Vol
- $41.2M
- 24h Vol
- $30.5K
KALSHITop Chinese AI Company week of September 14th
- Alibaba+12.0pt76.9%
- Moonshot+4.0pt15.7%
- DeepSeek1.6%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $35.3K
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba-3.0pt75%
- Moonshot-3.5pt12%
- Z.ai+2.8pt6%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Total Vol
- $13.2M
- 24h Vol
- $17.1K
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 13?
- Will Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
- Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Guandong GZ-Power FC vs Dalian Kun City
- Top Chinese AI Company week of September 7th
- Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner
- Guangxi Hengchen FC vs Yanbian Longding
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for China/France vs. Belgium/Germany?
- Polymarket prices China/France at 92% as of September 12, 2026.
- When does China/France vs. Belgium/Germany resolve?
- China/France vs. Belgium/Germany is scheduled to resolve on September 19, 2026.
- How is China/France vs. Belgium/Germany settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: In the upcoming FIBA Women's World Cup game, scheduled for September 12 at 12:00PM ET: If the China/France win, the market will resolve to "China/France".