Current implied probability
USA 95%+1.0pt
Market quality
80 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$9.5K
Liquidity
$92.6K
High liquidityBid / Ask
4.2% / 5.8%
Spread
1.6 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Sep 11, 26, 7:30 AM UTCSep 19, 26, 6:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
In the upcoming FIBA Women's World Cup game, scheduled for September 12 at 2:00PM ET: If the Spain win, the market will resolve to "Spain".
- If the USA win, the market will resolve to "USA".
- If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
- If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
- The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for USA is 95%.
CoinRithm reference USA 95% · 2 venues · 0 pt venue spread
- Also available on Kalshi — USA vs Spain · USA 93%
Open markets
SportsPOLYMARKETLoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
- Game 2 Winner+51.5pt100%
- Game 3 Winner+50.5pt100%
- O/U 3.5 Games+25.4pt100%
+59 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.4M
- 24h Vol
- $6.1M
KALSHIAmgen Irish Open Winner
- Shane Lowry+10.0pt46%
- Jacob Skov Olesen+7.8pt11%
- Daniel Brown+8.0pt10%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Nfltotal 26 SEP 11 Sflar
- 17+3.0pt100%
- 20100%
- 23100%
+42 more outcomes
- Total Vol
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)MLB: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago Cubs (Sep 11, 2026)
- CHC+45.0pt99%
- PIT-46.0pt1%
- Total Vol
- $1.7M
- 24h Vol
- $1.7M
KALSHIOklahoma vs Michigan: Spread
- Oklahoma wins by over 1.5 points66%
- Oklahoma wins by over 2.5 points63%
- Oklahoma wins by over 3.5 points55%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.3M
- 24h Vol
KALSHI2027 Pro Football Champion
- Los Angeles R-1.0pt11.1%
- San Francisco-1.0pt6%
- Buffalo-2.0pt6%
+29 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $95.5M
- Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs
- US Open Men's Singles Winner
- England vs Pakistan
- Dencheva vs Burillo Escorihuela
- Oklahoma vs Michigan
- Ohio St. vs Texas
- 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
- Ryan Garcia vs Conor Benn
- Philadelphia vs Atlanta
- NFL 2026-27: Champion
- Pro Football Championship Game Matchup
- Zverev vs Shelton
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Spain vs. USA?
- Polymarket prices USA at 95% as of September 12, 2026.
- When does Spain vs. USA resolve?
- Spain vs. USA is scheduled to resolve on September 19, 2026.
- How is Spain vs. USA settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: In the upcoming FIBA Women's World Cup game, scheduled for September 12 at 2:00PM ET: If the Spain win, the market will resolve to "Spain".
- Where else is Spain vs. USA listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi.