KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
USA 93.1%+2.0ptVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
80 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$56.2K
Liquidity
$59.3K
High liquidityBid / Ask
93.0% / 95.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Sep 10, 26, 9:38 PM UTCSep 14, 26, 2:30 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If Spain wins the USA vs Spain women's professional FIBA World Cup (W) basketball game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 at 10:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result.
- If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If USA wins the USA vs Spain women's professional FIBA World Cup (W) basketball game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 at 10:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for USA is 95%. Quotes span about 1 percentage point between the widest venues.
CoinRithm reference USA 95% · 2 venues · 1 pt venue spread
Open markets
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+27 more outcomes
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POLYMARKETNBA: 2027 Champion
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+27 more outcomes
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- 24h Vol
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)2027 Pro Men's Basketball Champion
- Oklahoma City+1.0pt18.9%
- San Antonio-1.0pt18.9%
- Philadelphia-1.0pt8.8%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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- Minnesota42.5%
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- Indiana10.6%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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- 24h Vol
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KALSHIKawhi Leonard's Next Team
- Toronto-3.0pt70%
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+27 more outcomes
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KALSHIWomen's Pro Basketball MVP Winner
- A'ja Wilson+1.0pt75%
- Olivia Miles+2.0pt5.7%
- Caitlin Clark-1.0pt1.6%
+21 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $894.7K
- Steph Curry's Next Team
- Bronny James' Next Team Before Oct 23, 2026
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- Phoenix Mercury vs. Portland Fire
- NBA 2026-27: Pacific Division Winner
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- Pro Basketball MVP Winner
- Kevin Durant's Next Team
- 2027 Pro Men's Basketball Western Conference Champion
- WNBA: 2026 Champion
- NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for USA vs Spain?
- Kalshi prices USA at 93% as of September 12, 2026.
- When does USA vs Spain resolve?
- USA vs Spain is scheduled to resolve on September 14, 2026.
- How is USA vs Spain settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Spain wins the USA vs Spain women's professional FIBA World Cup (W) basketball game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 at 10:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is USA vs Spain listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket.