PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Democratic Party 94%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$15.6K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
6.0% / 6.4%
Spread
0.4 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 20 minutes ago
Dec 16, 25, 6:49 PMNov 4, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Democratic Party94%
Compare venues· Democratic Party
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall60% match · verified | Medium | 93% | — | $1.6K | $3K | 20 minutes ago | Open → |
| PolymarketThis page | Low | 94% | — | $0 | $15.6K | 20 minutes ago |
Also available on Kalshi
UT-01 House winner?
1y
93%
7%
64 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$9.3K
24h Vol$1.6K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$50Jul 513d of dataJul 26
Related Markets
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$408.3KGavin Newsom: 19%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
South Dakota Republican Governor nominee?
$79.8KToby Doeden: 4%KALSHI
KALSHI
California Governor winner? (Person)
$26.5KXavier Becerra: 96%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?
$23KYes: 37%KALSHI
KALSHI
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
$9.3KDemocratic: 59%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
KS-04 House Election Winner
$8.6KRepublican Party: 93%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Related News
Polymarket odds swing: Eizenkot hits 51% as Israel campaign kicks offBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News
White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk
Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News
White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph
Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as Epstein files critique hits tapeBlockchain.NewsRules
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.