KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityBen McAdams 93%
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$1.6K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
89.0% / 92.6%
Spread
3.6 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Nov 17, 25, 3:00 PMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Ben McAdams93%
Compare venues· Ben McAdams
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall60% match · verified | Low | 94% | — | $0 | $38.2K | 15 minutes ago | Open → |
| KalshiThis page | Low | 93% | — | $0 | $1.6K | 15 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
UT-01 House Election Winner
3mo
94%
6%
0%
+5 more outcomes
49 • Low qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$36.4K
24h Vol$0
POLYMARKETRules
If the House member sworn in for UT-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the House member sworn in for UT-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$40Jul 44d of dataJul 25
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If the House member sworn in for UT-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the House member sworn in for UT-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.