
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
Market depth · Yes
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Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET (according to the FDIC's "Failed Bank List").
Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:
https://api.coinrithm.com/api/prediction-markets/events/polymarket/us-bank-failure-by-december-31-2026-20260928AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:
https://mcp.coinrithm.com/mcp+10 more outcomes
+7 more outcomes
+5 more outcomes
+4 more outcomes