PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityAugust 31 87%Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$450.7
Liquidity
$4.2K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
60.0% / 89.0%
Spread
48.3%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jul 10, 26, 9:24 PMAug 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
August 3187%
Volume trend
$451Jul 102d of dataJul 11
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
- Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
- The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.