Who will be U.S. President before a person next sets foot on the Moon?
PoliticsOne-OffEntertainmentMusicUS PoliticsElection14yManifold MarketsNo KYCCurrent community forecastAlexandra Ocasio-Cortez 4.1%Leader of 9 outcomes
Forecasters
52
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 days ago
StaleJan 29, 24, 1:43 AMJan 1, 41, 7:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Alexandra Ocasio-Cortez4%
Related Markets
2028 Republican VP nominee
$3.3KMarco Rubio: 29%
KALSHI
KALSHI
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
$423.3KHunter Biden: 0%KALSHI
KALSHI
2028 Republican presidential nominee
$70.2KDonald J. Trump: 3%KALSHI
KALSHI
What Will Happen During Trump's Second Term (2025-2029)?
$497.7Trump bans abortion nationwide: 3.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWho will run for the 2028 Democratic nomination for the presidency? [Add Answers]
$52Bernie Sanders: 3.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWho will run for U.S. President in 2028 [Add Answers]
$76.1Joe Biden: 13%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActive in these topics
Related News
Ripple, Coinbase among top donors in crypto’s $189 million election spending: reportThe Block
Colorado Dem upset jolts 2028 chatter as Polymarket puts Newsom at 20.5%Blockchain.News
Colorado primary surprise as Polymarket keeps Maduro favored at 80%Blockchain.News
Ripple-backed PACs fuel record $189M crypto election spendingCrypto News
Eizenkot kicks off election bid as Polymarket puts him at 40% to lead IsraelBlockchain.News.jpg)
Supreme Court mail-ballot ruling lifts Lula to 55.5% on PolymarketBlockchain.NewsRules
People who (re)gain the presidency only (i.e., Biden or Trump could count but only if they win again).
- Resolves YES to each president that enters office, whether by election, appointment, or inheritance.
- All remaining resolve NO if/when a person lands on the moon and steps out onto the surface.
- Also resolve NO if the U.S. ceases to exist or the presidency is renamed/ abolished for whatever reason, and won't be reopened if such an edge case is reversed.
- Close time may be pushed back as necessary.
- Add your own, as usual.