Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 27, 2026, 12:07 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Yes 100%+39.5pt
Yes 100%+39.5ptMarket quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$234.1
Liquidity
$5.3K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$1K
Bid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
+43.0 pts
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleOct 16, 26, 4:47 PM UTCOct 27, 26, 1:00 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
Yes100%
No0%
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PolymarketRules
As of market creation, S&P Global is estimated to release earnings on October 27, 2026.
- The Street consensus estimate for S&P Global’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $4.51 as of market creation.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if S&P Global reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $4.51 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
- If S&P Global releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha.
- If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha.