Nothing Ever Happens: July
FedOne-OffGeopoliticsMiddle EastRussia / UkraineSportsSoccerCommodities1mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probabilityNothing 80%
Market quality
68 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$4.1K
Liquidity
$14K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
78.0% / 81.0%
Spread
3.9%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jun 26, 26, 9:08 PMJul 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Nothing80%
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This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- - USA or any African Country wins the World Cup - US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal - Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150 - Fed decides any change in July - Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
- The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_July.pdf