With the new peace talks with Iran, will interest rate rates lower in the next eight weeks?
FedOne-OffGeopoliticsMiddle East1moManifold MarketsNo KYCCurrent community forecastYes 4%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 days ago
StaleJun 19, 26, 5:53 PMAug 14, 26, 5:52 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes4%
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Nothing Ever Happens: July
$4.1KNothing: 80%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Bank of Israel Decision in July?
$1.1KDecrease: 91%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
$4.4Tucker Carlson: 9%
KALSHI
KALSHINothing Ever Happens: June (Polymarket)
$200Nothing: 98%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by...?
$561.3KJune 30: 1%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWill the IDF fight against Abu Shabab (a Palestinian militia they supplied with weapons) by the end of 2026?
$500Yes: 18.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActive in these topics
Related News
Hormuz vessel attack lifts oil as Polymarket puts July 15 normalcy at 29.5%Blockchain.News
Hormuz strike jolts Iran-entry market as Polymarket cuts Trump odds to 15%Blockchain.News
Warsh flags easy financing as Polymarket lifts July Fed hold odds to 78.5%Blockchain.News
Warsh drops forward guidance as Polymarket pegs 2026 zero cuts at 79.85%Blockchain.News
Iran Threatens Strait of Hormuz Closure Again: Crypto Markets Face an Energy Shock TestBlockchain Reporter
Warsh’s first Fed hold lifts Polymarket odds of zero 2026 rate cuts to 80%Blockchain.NewsRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.