Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Nothing (98%)
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, 4:34 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current community forecastNothing 98%
Forecasters
10
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 19 days ago
StaleJun 2, 26, 3:46 AMJun 30, 26, 11:59 PM
Probability Timeline
Nothing98%
Something2%
98%
2%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Nothing
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall92% match · auto | Low | 100% | — | $102.2 | $23.9K | 25 days ago | Open → |
| Manifold MarketsThis page | — | 98% | — | — | — | 19 days ago |
Also available on Polymarket
Nothing Ever Happens: June
Closed
Resolved
Nothing (100%)
100%
0%
29 • Low qualitySpread unknownMedium liquidity
Total Vol$32.5K
24h Vol$102.2
POLYMARKETRules
Resolves the same as:https://polymarket.com/event/nothing-ever-happens-june-20260601234950501
- This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150 - US confirms that aliens exist - Fed decides any change in June - Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire - Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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Resolves the same as:https://polymarket.com/event/nothing-ever-happens-june-20260601234950501
- This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150 - US confirms that aliens exist - Fed decides any change in June - Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire - Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.