Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
0.1% (24h)CommoditiesOne-OffMiddle EastUS PoliticsGeopolitics4d
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityYes 1%
Market quality
56 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$172.3
Liquidity
$65.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
0.7% / 0.9%
Spread
28.6%
Wide spread7d Change
-0.3%
Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
May 25, 26, 6:34 PMJul 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes1%
Volume trend
$172Jul 225d of dataJul 26
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
- Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
- An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
- An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.