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  1. Prediction Markets
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  3. Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

3.5% (24h)CommoditiesOne-OffMiddle East1mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 26%+0.0%
Market quality

73 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$6.1K

Liquidity

$32.5K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

24.0% / 27.0%

Spread

12.5%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 2 minutes ago

May 25, 26, 6:46 PMJul 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes26%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
  • Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
  • An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
  • An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.

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Active in these topics

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
  • Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
  • An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
  • An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.