Current implied probability
Pablo Jarillo-Herrero No observed price
Pablo Jarillo-Herrero No observed priceMarket quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$5.3K
Liquidity
$124K
High liquidityComments
0
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Oct 6, 26, 9:00 AM UTCOct 7, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
2026 Nobel Physics winner?
KalshiWill a woman win the 2026 Nobel Prize in Physics, Chemistry, Medicine, or Economics?
Manifold MarketsWill Tumbles become convinced that local realism is false before 2027? (quantum physics)
Manifold MarketsWill a theory of everything (a theory that unites relativity and quantum mechanics) be found in physics by 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill I ever make physics camp?
Manifold MarketsNobel Prize in Chemistry: 2026
KalshiRules
The Nobel Prize in Physics is awarded annually by the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences.
- The 2026 Nobel Prize in Physics is scheduled to be announced on October 6, 2026, at 11:45 AM CEST (5:45 AM ET) at the earliest.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed person is named a laureate of the 2026 Nobel Prize in Physics in the official announcement from the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The prize may be shared by up to three laureates.
- A listed person who shares the 2026 Nobel Prize in Physics will resolve to "Yes" regardless of how many other laureates are named alongside them.
