PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityDemocratic Party 94%+2.0ptLeader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
75 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$1.5K
Liquidity
$32.3K
High liquidityBid / Ask
93.0% / 94.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Jan 28, 26, 9:42 PMNov 3, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Democratic Party94%
Volume trend
$1.5kJul 521d of dataJul 28
Related Markets
Presidential Election Winner 2028
$462KJD Vance: 20%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$273.8KGavin Newsom: 19%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
2028 Republican presidential nominee
$230.4KDonald J. Trump: 3%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Michigan Democratic Senate nominee?
$195.2KHaley Stevens: 30%KALSHI
KALSHI
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
$189.8KDonald J. Trump: 3%KALSHI
KALSHI
Trump out as President by July 31?
$61.6KYes: 0%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Related News
Polymarket odds swing: Eizenkot hits 51% as Israel campaign kicks offBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News
White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk
Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News
White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph
Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as Epstein files critique hits tapeBlockchain.NewsRules
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.