PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityRepublican Party 88%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
91 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$514
Liquidity
$56.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
11.8% / 11.9%
Spread
0.8%
Tight spread7d Change
+2.1%
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Jan 28, 26, 9:42 PMNov 3, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Republican Party88%
Volume trend
$514Jul 64d of dataJul 13
Related Markets
Presidential Election Winner 2028
$977.4KJD Vance: 20%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$759.5KGavin Newsom: 20%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$266.6KRobert F. Kennedy: 49%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Florida Republican Governor nominee?
$114KJames Fishback: 4%
KALSHI
KALSHI
2028 Republican presidential nominee
$97.2KErika Kirk: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Which party will win the U.S. House?
$31.5KRepublican Party: 19%KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
Related News
Colorado Dem upset jolts 2028 chatter as Polymarket puts Newsom at 20.5%Blockchain.News
Colorado primary surprise as Polymarket keeps Maduro favored at 80%Blockchain.News
Ripple-backed PACs fuel record $189M crypto election spendingCrypto News
Eizenkot kicks off election bid as Polymarket puts him at 40% to lead IsraelBlockchain.News
Supreme Court blow to Trump knocks Newsom to 20.5% on PolymarketBlockchain.News
After SCOTUS mail vote loss, Trump pushes SAVE Act as Vance holds 19.4%Blockchain.NewsRules
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-05 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.