PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
September 15 53%
Market quality
66 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$20.7K
Liquidity
$3.1K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
23.0% / 24.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 18 minutes ago
Aug 24, 26, 11:12 PMSep 15, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- The relevant airports are: - Sheremetyevo (SVO); - Domodedovo (DME); and - Vnukovo (VKO).
- A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time.
- Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
- The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Moscow air traffic suspended by which date??
- Polymarket prices September 15 at 53% as of August 25, 2026.
- When does Moscow air traffic suspended by which date? resolve?
- Moscow air traffic suspended by which date? is scheduled to resolve on September 15, 2026.
- How is Moscow air traffic suspended by which date? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.