PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityRashida Tlaib 98%Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
91 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$2.8K
Liquidity
$45.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
97.9% / 98.2%
Spread
0.3%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Jul 8, 26, 10:11 PMAug 4, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Rashida Tlaib98%
Volume trend
$2.8kJul 82d of dataJul 9
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This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
- If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
- Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.