PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityRepublican Party 95.9%+1.5ptLeader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
72 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$531.2
Liquidity
$28.6K
High liquidityBid / Ask
93.0% / 94.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 18 minutes ago
Jan 28, 26, 9:38 PMNov 3, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Republican Party94%
Volume trend
$531Jul 518d of dataJul 28
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This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.