PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityNo 83%
Market quality
37 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$35.6
Low liquidityBid / Ask
13.0% / 21.0%
Spread
8.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Jan 18, 26, 7:05 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes17%
Compare venues· No
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall65% match · verified | Medium | 71% | +42pt | $8.1 | $10.2K | 15 minutes ago | Open → |
| PolymarketThis page | Low | 83% | +54pt | $0 | $35.6 | 15 minutes ago |
Also available on Kalshi
Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner: Engaged in 2026?
6.0 pts5mo
71%
+6.0pt29%
57 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$26K
24h Vol$8.1
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Kylie Jenner is engaged to be married to Timothée Chalamet by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If it is announced that Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet have married, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Kylie Jenner and/or Timothée Chalamet or one of their representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$2Jul 48d of dataJul 22
Related Markets
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
$1MKamala Harris: 10%KALSHI
KALSHI
2028 Republican presidential nominee
$141.8KDonald J. Trump: 3%KALSHI
KALSHI
Oscar winner: Best Picture
$138.2KThe Odyssey: 50%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
$46.7KSpider-Man: Brand New Day: 83%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
$32.7KDecember 31: 28%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
What will happen before GTA VI?
$23.8KRussia-Ukraine Ceasefire: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Kylie Jenner is engaged to be married to Timothée Chalamet by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If it is announced that Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet have married, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Kylie Jenner and/or Timothée Chalamet or one of their representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.