KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityNo 71%
Market quality
54 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$8.1
Liquidity
$10.2K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
24.0% / 29.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jan 1, 26, 3:00 PMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes29%
Compare venues· No
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | Medium | 71% | +47pt | $8.1 | $10.2K | 7 minutes ago | |
 Polymarket65% match · verified | Low | 83% | +59pt | $0 | $52.1 | 7 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026?
5mo
83%
17%
37 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$9.9K
24h Vol$0
POLYMARKETRules
If Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner are reported to be engaged to be married before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$8Jul 322d of dataJul 27
Related Markets
Time's Person of the Year for 2026
$30.6KZohran Mamdani: 23%KALSHI
KALSHI
Avengers: Doomsday: Cast
$16.8KTobey Maguire as Spider-Man?: 91%KALSHI
KALSHI
The Game Awards: 2026 Game of the Year
$4.7KMarvel's Wolverine: 5%KALSHI
KALSHI
TIME Person of the Year 2026
$706.5Zohran Mamdani: 27%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will the One Piece manga reach over 1350 chapters?
$500Yes: 93.7%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?
$249.8Yes: 26%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Rules
If Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner are reported to be engaged to be married before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.