Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 62.5%
Forecasters
17
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleJan 28, 26, 6:29 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner: Engaged in 2026?
KalshiKylie Jenner confirmed pregnant in 2026?
PolymarketWill Timothy Chalamet be revealed to be rapper EsDeeKid before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsJacob Elordi and Kendall Jenner engaged in 2026?
Polymarket"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
PolymarketNext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to YES if both Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet publicly confirm an engagement at any point between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (11:59 PM PT).
- A qualifying public engagement announcement includes any one of the following:
- A direct statement or post from either individual on a verified social media account explicitly confirming an engagement
- A joint public announcement (interview, red carpet statement, official spokesperson confirmation) clearly stating they are engaged
- Coverage by multiple major media outlets citing confirmation from the couple or their representatives
- The market will resolve to NO if no such confirmation occurs within the specified time window.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.5pt70.6%
- 940 - 950m-17.0pt25.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $371.8K
- 24h Vol
- $113.9K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+26.0pt67%
- Jack Barton-7.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt19%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-5.5pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.6pt9%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $93K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $151.8K
- 24h Vol
- $52.7K
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer-1.0pt17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engagement announced in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 63% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engagement announced in 2026? resolve?
- Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engagement announced in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engagement announced in 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to YES if both Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet publicly confirm an engagement at any point between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (11:59 PM PT).
- Where else is Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engagement announced in 2026? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi, Polymarket.