Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 1:24 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 85.2%
Forecasters
19
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated yesterday
StaleJan 28, 26, 6:29 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner: Engaged in 2026?
KalshiIs Kylie Jenner pregnant or ever be pregnant with Timothée Chalamet's baby?
Manifold MarketsWill Timothee Chalamet and Kylie Jenner announce their engagement before 2027?
Manifold MarketsKylie Jenner confirmed pregnant in 2026?
Polymarket#1 Spotify song this week? (October 30)
PolymarketThe Mongoose · Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to YES if both Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet publicly confirm an engagement at any point between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (11:59 PM PT).
- A qualifying public engagement announcement includes any one of the following:
- A direct statement or post from either individual on a verified social media account explicitly confirming an engagement
- A joint public announcement (interview, red carpet statement, official spokesperson confirmation) clearly stating they are engaged
- Coverage by multiple major media outlets citing confirmation from the couple or their representatives
- The market will resolve to NO if no such confirmation occurs within the specified time window.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Will Timothee Chalamet and Kylie Jenner announce their engagement before 2027? · No 73%
- Also available on Kalshi — Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner: Engaged in 2026? · No 87%
- Also available on Polymarket — Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026? · No 89%