PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
19°C 34.3%Leader of 11 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
19°C 34.3%Market quality
71 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.6K
Liquidity
$37.5K
High liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Oct 7, 26, 12:56 PM UTCOct 9, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on October 9?
PolymarketWill Mexico City get a Major League Baseball team before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Mexico City have a big 4 sports team before 2030
Manifold MarketsWhere will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of October?
PolymarketExceptional drought (D4) by state — week of October 6, 2026
PolymarketBrazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026?
FutuurRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Oct '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
