PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 20°C
Resolved: Oct 8, 2026, 8:42 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
20°C
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
1%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 9, 2026, 1:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
23°C19%
21°C18%
22°C0%
24°C4%
20°C100%
17°C0%
20°CWon
15°C or belowLost
16°CLost
17°CLost
18°CLost
19°CLost
21°CLost
22°CLost
23°CLost
24°CLost
25°C or higherLost
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Oct '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.