PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Current implied probabilityAisha Wahab 94%Leader of 34 outcomes
Market quality
91 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$650
Liquidity
$75.7K
High liquidityBid / Ask
93.0% / 95.0%
Spread
2.1%
Tight spread7d Change
+8.5%
Market data
Updated 4 days ago
StaleApr 16, 26, 5:44 PMAug 18, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
94%
3%
2%
1%
1%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Also available on Polymarket
CA-14 House Election Winner
4mo
94%
-2.5%3%
0%
+5 more outcomes
91 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$32.2K
24h Vol$2.3K
POLYMARKET
Also available on Kalshi
CA-14 special election winner
1y
5%
92%
1%
+4 more outcomes
56 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$142K
24h Vol$56.3
KALSHIRules
A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S.
- House of Representatives.
- This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
- This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
- If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S.
- House of Representatives.
- This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
- This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
- If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.