Current implied probability
Melissa Hernandez 5%Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
56 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$56.3
Liquidity
$71.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
3.0% / 5.0%
Spread
66.7%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Apr 14, 26, 1:00 AMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Melissa Hernandez5%
Also available on Polymarket
CA-14 House Election Winner
4mo
94%
-2.5%3%
0%
+5 more outcomes
91 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$32.2K
24h Vol$2.3K
POLYMARKETAlso available on Polymarket
CA-14 Special Election Winner?
Closed
94%
+3.0%3%
-0.5%2%
+31 more outcomes
91 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$6.2K
24h Vol$650
POLYMARKETRules
If Aisha Wahab wins the 2026 CA-14 special election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If Melissa Hernandez wins the 2026 CA-14 special election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Matt Ortega wins the 2026 CA-14 special election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Victor Aguilar Jr. wins the 2026 CA-14 special election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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If Aisha Wahab wins the 2026 CA-14 special election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If Melissa Hernandez wins the 2026 CA-14 special election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Matt Ortega wins the 2026 CA-14 special election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Victor Aguilar Jr. wins the 2026 CA-14 special election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.