PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityElizabeth Lee 90%+6.5%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$12.7K
Liquidity
$90.9K
High liquidityBid / Ask
89.0% / 90.0%
Spread
1.1%
Tight spread7d Change
+8.0%
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Jul 1, 26, 8:53 PMJul 21, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Elizabeth Lee90%
Volume trend
$12.7kJul 26d of dataJul 11
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This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The Democratic primary will take place on July 21, 2026.
- If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
- Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.