PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 87.1%+1.5pt
Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$25.7
Liquidity
$96.8
Low liquidityBid / Ask
6.0% / 19.0%
Spread
13.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
7d Change
-4.0 pts
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Aug 31, 26, 6:36 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a single AI artwork sells for $10,000,000 or more at a major auction house between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, a "major auction house" is restricted to Christie's, Sotheby's, Phillips, Bonhams, China Guardian, or Poly Auction, including any of their salerooms worldwide and their online-only sales.
- Sales conducted by any other auction house, private sales, dealer or gallery sales, and sales on NFT marketplaces or other online platforms will not qualify.
- For the purposes of this market, an "AI artwork" is a lot whose artistic content was generated in substantial part by an artificial intelligence system, including generative models, neural networks, other machine learning systems, or an AI-driven robot, and which is identified as such, by the auction house in the lot description, catalogue entry, or official sale materials, by the relevant artists, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
- Works in which artificial intelligence was used only incidentally, such as for upscaling, retouching, or color correction, works that depict or address artificial intelligence as subject matter without being AI-generated, and works produced solely with conventional digital tools will not qualify.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for AI artwork hits $10M at major auction in 2026??
- Polymarket prices No at 87% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does AI artwork hits $10M at major auction in 2026? resolve?
- AI artwork hits $10M at major auction in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is AI artwork hits $10M at major auction in 2026? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if a single AI artwork sells for $10,000,000 or more at a major auction house between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
